Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000175 0.000194 0.000214 0.000238 0.000264 0.000293 0.000328
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000170 0.000203 0.000244 0.000295 0.000356 0.000436
2025-05-04 0.000120 0.000151 0.000190 0.000243 0.000313 0.000403 0.000530
2025-05-11 0.000105 0.000139 0.000183 0.000246 0.000333 0.000453 0.000632
2025-05-18 0.000093 0.000128 0.000175 0.000244 0.000346 0.000493 0.000725
2025-05-25 0.000084 0.000118 0.000167 0.000242 0.000357 0.000531 0.000820
2025-06-01 0.000076 0.000110 0.000160 0.000239 0.000365 0.000564 0.000911
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000101 0.000150 0.000230 0.000363 0.000581 0.000977
2025-06-15 0.000063 0.000096 0.000147 0.000233 0.000380 0.000629 0.001103
2025-06-22 0.000060 0.000094 0.000146 0.000238 0.000400 0.000685 0.001253
2025-06-29 0.000055 0.000088 0.000140 0.000233 0.000402 0.000710 0.001345
2025-07-06 0.000050 0.000081 0.000131 0.000223 0.000393 0.000713 0.001395
2025-07-13 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000224 0.000407 0.000763 0.001554
2025-07-20 0.000045 0.000075 0.000128 0.000229 0.000429 0.000831 0.001768
2025-07-27 0.000042 0.000072 0.000124 0.000227 0.000439 0.000878 0.001942
2025-08-03 0.000040 0.000069 0.000122 0.000230 0.000455 0.000940 0.002167
2025-08-10 0.000037 0.000066 0.000119 0.000228 0.000463 0.000986 0.002360
2025-08-17 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000226 0.000472 0.001033 0.002565
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000060 0.000112 0.000223 0.000476 0.001072 0.002757
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000056 0.000106 0.000215 0.000469 0.001081 0.002869
2025-09-07 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000218 0.000486 0.001155 0.003183
2025-09-14 0.000028 0.000054 0.000105 0.000223 0.000509 0.001245 0.003569
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000051 0.000101 0.000218 0.000508 0.001272 0.003767